engine · News Reflex
The Lineup Window
Starting elevens are confirmed about an hour before kick-off. A key striker rested, a keeper injured in the warm-up, a red card in the opening exchanges — sharp money moves on these instantly, while Polymarket takes time for the crowd to read the news and reprice. That lag is the edge.
// WHAT MOVES A WORLD CUP MARKET
The highest-value trigger is the team-sheet drop: a rotated XI in a dead-rubber group game, or a star left on the bench, can shift a win probability sharply in seconds. After that come in-play swings — an early goal, a sending-off, a penalty — and pre-match fitness and suspension news.
Source trust is tiered: official team-sheets and confirmed line-ups carry the most weight, reputable reporters next, unverified rumour not at all.
// WHAT POLYCUP SHOWS
The Bot Signal panel reads the same lineup and injury feeds as the Preview tab: whether starting XIs are confirmed or still pending, and how many injury flags are on the fixture. Before kick-off that doubles as a freshness indicator — the window is open while lineups are pending and closes once they're public.
See also: Overview · The Sharp Gap · Live picks · Risk